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Yes, I do agree, marketing has played a part.This is what I think too. People are just wanting to be seen with the next new big thing which seems to be MK. I was at the mall this weekend and the Coach section of the dept stores was like a ghost town because everyone was crowded around the MK section like it was a bar at a nightclub. And those bags aren't any better than Coach I don't think. And at my grocery store it used to be Coach sig every other person and then almost over night all the Cs have been replaced with MK. It's cyclical like everything else. Though I do think that what other people are saying about silly marketing moves is part of it as well.
I agree with so much that has been said here. The Coach math, FOS lockouts, reseller which hunts, PCE games, have left a bad taste in my mouth. I returned a bag Id bought in 2011 two days ago. I felt bad doing it, I believe the return policy should be shortened too, but it is what it is. I hadnt used it, still NWT receipt in the pocket. The SA said it would be gone before the end of the day.
I think I would like a Borough but I compare them to the bag I returned and others I already have, less and thinner hardware, higher price point. I havent seen a Borough in person, but I have little doubt they will end up at the outlet at least at some point, nearly everything does. If they do not, thats ok too.
Coach is alienating long time customers and betting the farm on the new customers they dont already have. Hope they are right.
There are so many brands out there, MKors mentioned here as a top competitor, competing for the mostly middle class dollar. A lot of my friends, most of them in fact, cannot fathom paying $100 or more for a bag. They carry the $30 Kohls specials. Sometimes I cannot believe I spend $200 and up on Coach without blinking. $400 is about the point where I squeak. I am curious where that point is for most Coach customers? Does Coach know? I hope so.
I will never be a mainly FP customer, first off I dont live near one. Second, Ill stick to the outlet, FP deletes. If the Outlets close, I probably wont buy anymore Coach. I have plenty anyway.
One more comment Coach clothing. Id love some of the jackets and coats, but Im plus size. When I go to the outlet near me, frankly, most of the women are built like me. I dont see many 20 year old fashion models like Karlie whats her name. Ive asked the store manager time and again to pass on to Coach larger sizes, but Coach doesn't listen. The manager at my outlet told me they are making mens in extended sizes, especially smaller to cater to the Asian market. Well hello! How about the other way? The same with shoes-- not everyone wants spike heels or crappy slip ons or sneakers with no arch supports that hurt your feet. I am quite sure they are high profit though, they are incredibly cheap looking in construction.
[FONT="]Ok rant over![/FONT]
I feel like I wrote this post. Thanks for taking the time, you said it all so well! If I add anything else, I will be just blithering on.
I think the decline in Coach sales has a lot to do with its position as the current market leader in the mid-luxury handbag market. It was just in the past several years that Michael Kors, Kate Spade, and Tory Burch really started being more aggressive with both full price retail and outlet sales to hit Coach at both sectors, which is definitely having a big impact in the U.S. When you're at the top, there's nowhere else to go but down.
That being said, I think this is relatively short term. Coach is huge in Asia and still held growth of 25% in the region to offset North America. There is a 'luxury' factor that Coach has lost in the U.S, due in part to the majority of sales at outlet stores, but mostly due to designs. I think a lot of the Factory inventory in women's is dated and somewhat cheap, though it seems to be getting better with more leather bags and less fabric.
As for FOS and outlet deletes, I'm not sure that Coach makes much margin over these since they are much better quality product discounted by as much as 70 percent. I'm mostly a delete buyer so I don't think my business contributes any profit to their bottom line =).
The new Coach Executive Creative Director Stuart Vevers (who comes from LVMH) has a new collection that drops in Sept., which should steer current designs in a fresh direction.
Also, the men's category is growing at a much stronger rate, and I think the FP Men's product has been strong, particularly with collaborations like Hugo Guinness in 2012 and Billy Reid in 2013. I'm also a fan of the new striped Bleecker product for spring 2014.
While Coach's gross margin was 69 percent in Q2, down from 72 percent, the company has no debt and great management. As they introduce more lifestyle items, i.e. clothing, footwear, accessories, which all carry a high margin, I think they have a good chance to recover.
One thing I've noticed is that Coach seems really focused on men's products lately. I can't imagine that very many men want multiple designer bags, so they won't get the repeat business the way that they do from women. I enjoy having a lot of different bags that I can switch between once or twice a week, and at Coach's price point, this is very doable for me and I think returning customers make up a lot of their business. The men's products do look like they are great quality, but I find them a little too masculine still and they seem to show up heavily discounted in the outlets so it doesn't really seem like anyone would buy them FP. Just seems like funky marketing to me!
I agree with this. I think that men's accessories are a small percentage of the total market, so even if they are seeing an increase, is it enough to make up for the other issues? I don't see men, as a whole, being repeat customers. Let's face it--out of all women, those who will spend even over $100 on a bag is a small segment and the men's market would be a fraction of the women's category. Also, a lot of women actually buy off the men's line simply because they like it.
I think there is a struggle between who Coach wants to be (more high end/luxurious, towards LV demographic) and who their customers see them as a brand (affordable luxury, outlet sales, attainable for many). They are going to have a tough time rebranding themselves to reach premier-scale customers because, quite frankly, I don't think many people are willing to pay over $500 for any Coach bag, which is why we see so many of those bags ending up at the outlet for 50% off. If they want to really retool the brand, they would have to abandon much of their outlet strategy and the outlets account for a substantial percentage of their sales, and they simply can't give up that revenue--it's too risky. It's as if some of the decision makers are closing their eyes and ignoring what their customer base is telling them.