This is what I am seeing:
There are fewer bags. It is not crisis level, but it is more than noticeable.
The big flagships are still getting good shipments (not just France, but, say, Madison). They have a lot of B/K/etc bags. But still possibly not as many as usual.
Management has changed something about how they prioritize offers...I can't tell if it's spend or new client preference or something else, but I hear too many stories of people who could get a Birkin or Kelly whenever they wanted, and now that has changed. I haven't asked for anything in a long time but an exotic mini K (yeah I know hahahahahaha, laugh me out of the room), since I have relative "purse peace" and an SO in progress, but I get a distinct and clear sense it's rougher out there.
Now let's look at reality:
Hermès wasn't hurt economically by COVID as far as both their reports and anecdotal information indicate - in fact it appears to be quite the opposite. Direct SA quote: "As soon as people could shop, they were buying like the world was ending". So if there is a real bag shortage it's because of ateliers closing in lockdown. I don't have data on that but I am sure someone does.
There will always, always, always be influencers posting their bags and their "journeys". Please, do not let this feel hurtful. There's a scary amount of fake bags in those videos (this is not new). I wouldn't be shocked if they were the majority. Remember that the most famous superfake maker (I hope I'm not violating TOS here, but this is easily available information) has
their own dedicated factory. This isn't a small thing. Do NOT believe everything you see.
Our world will normalize. In the meantime, if we can not compare ourselves to manufactured social media, we stay happy and work with what we have. So there are fewer bags for a year or two.....it's ok. Life is long.
