I'm not sure if we'll ever go back to pre-pandemic ratios. I suspect demand is always going to be very high, similar to luxury watches even when demand "drops", it'll just be a matter of 2x vs. 3 or 4x retail on the secondary market. H's main customer base is typically less affected by recessions. Oh and Chanel's relentless price increases is certainly not helping either.![]()
I hope I'm wrong tho!
I feel like the current average ratio is partly inflated by the influx of resellers and influencers to H in the past 2 years, who are willing to drop a bigger spend in the short term for views and bags to flip, but are less impervious to economic downturns than H's true core clientele. There was also a huge increase in brand awareness and popularity of H in China after the drama Nothing But Thirty aired, leading to increased stock diversion to the Chinese market and consequent decrease in stock everywhere else. There are reports in country that the value of B/Ks in the second hand market is dropping pretty drastically in China, now that all sectors of the economy are feeling the squeeze from ongoing zero-covid lockdowns. Maybe these factors combined will eventually lower the ratio, who knows.