For what it’s worth price increases had already started in China and it was done by category. For silk it increased on December 14th. 90 silk for example went from 3600 to 3750, 70 silk from 2700 to 2800. Then it was jewelry’s turn yesterday / two days ago I think, for fashion jewelry for example pop H necklace went up from 3000 to 3250 and pop H earrings from 3450 to 3550. For fine jewelry like finesse bracelet I saw a report of 37400 to 39750. All prices CNY. I found the reports on their SNS app (RED) and they have screenshots of the official website before and after increases. If you do the math the percentage is lower than 10%, like 3-6%. Bags are reportedly going up on 12/29 or some time soon.
Also, it seems that there is a rumor of 10% increase on January 1st like *every year*, sometimes that turns out to be more true and sometimes less true. Is it possible that there is another round starting 1/1? Of course, and it feels like we may be heading that way, but that’s kinda always been known since H tends to do that. It was the question that started of this thread, and another for 2012, and another for 2014 (that I just found searching within this forum). I would say that unless the news is from your SA or a very trustworthy H source, there is no need to believe that what they say is exactly how it will happen. But generally speaking, expecting a price increase starting in January is not a surprising idea or some genius, out of the blue prediction because of past trend.