EXCELLENT analysis and post.
Coach cannot become an upscale brand until the mass dumping of merchandise to outlets ceases. Since the outlets are the only place Coach is really selling items reliably, this presents a huge cash flow and sales issue for Coach.
If fp non-sold items are not sent to the outlets but are instead destroyed or held in a warehouse, or left on the fp shelves, then there will be a cash flow issue. If fp items are sent to the outlets enmasse then there is an corporate image issue in regards to Coach being an upscale brand. Either way, Coach ends up failing at it's strategy to revitalize and upgrade it's corporate niche.
Simply selling high grade mff merchandise does not solve Coach's problems in my opinion either. For those that buy merchandise at the outlets and only buy "deletes", how happy would you be with the purchases you made, if those same bags had never been sold to a few of us at FP, but were always sold at the price you paid for them. How much of the driver of outlet sales is related to the notion that the outlet bags were once full price bags? Just a question......
That's the WHOLE point of my outlet shopping, getting bags that I COULD have paid FP for but now getting the same bag for much less. I'm fortunate to have access to outlets, Macys, Dillards etc. Fact is that I probably buy more from these sources than I would if I paid $600 for a new bag every quarter. If you time it right Coach practically gives away bags at certain times of the year.
I agree they have to solve the outlet cash cow issue versus the maintaining the integrity of the FP product by not slashing the prices every three months. Either way it's gonna hurt them, the issue is how long can they sustain the pain before they cave and start offering discounts again. In the past it has not lasted long. Regardless, it's going to be very interesting to watch.
ETA: I can't see them destroying excess inventory, what they need to work on is predicting accurate merchandising levels. It's the mass over production that leaves them with the excess inventory that they have to sell somehow. Let things REALLY sell out and create some scarcity. Once consumers begin to realize that Coach won't always bring a item back they will be motivated to buy something they really want opposed to seeing if it will end up at the outlet or FOS. JMHO
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