Yes, this makes sense! To clarify, I've asked for a Picotin, and haven't mentioned a quota bag yet because I know I am probably quite far away from that one.
The friend in Vegas actually was able to get me a Picotin from her SA and has gotten one for herself as well, along with another bag over, but she was also introduced by a longer term client, so maybe that helps!
Either way, it is helpful to know that my circumstances are totally normal. It's easy to get caught in the comparison trap when you hear of other stories, or see people on Reddit posting that they got offered quota bags with less than 5k spend. I'm guessing that these are probably the more unlikely scenarios, rather than the norm!