Considering that it's stated as brand new, it's not much over retail in the US. Just get it authenticated. It is watermarked as "Italy Station" with the item in HK. I recall some discussion about the Milan Station in HK selling BOTH fakes and authentic. I have no idea if this is the same place, different place or what. Tread carefully, as you say, it's a lot of money. You should be able to hunt down a VA bag this time of year. Have your SA keep and eye out. Better to purchase from H or a trusted reseller.