I am thinking of getting the Kate Spade Small Ella bag. I am missing a hobo such as this one in my collection of bags (mostly satchels, totes, and smaller cross body/clutch bags), and I think this would be a perfect match. For those of you who follow this brand closely, do you think that it will be possible to get this bag in standard black leather on any sort of promotion in the upcoming holiday season? Black Friday and boxing sale events are coming up. Thank you in advance for your responses.