Hawaii; Heads Up For Hurricanes Iselle and Julio

Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
I know there are a couple of Hawaiians here, not sure how many.

HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISO RY NUMBER 22
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092014
2100 UTC TUE AUG 05 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISO RY...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR HAWAII COUNTY.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 

CobaltBlu

Butterfly Wrangler
Moderator
O.G.
Oct 20, 2006
40,283
3,277
Hopefully it will continue to weaken
http://khon2.com/2014/08/03/hawaii-keeps-a-watchful-eye-on-hurricane-iselle/

The following is a 6:30 p.m. report from KHON2’s Justin Cruz:

Hurricane Iselle is weakening. The eye is not as apparent and the storm is not as symmetrical as it was 24 hours ago.

Meanwhile, Tropical Storm Julio is strengthening. However both are still forecast to be tropical storms near Hawaii.

The Big Island could see the effects beginning Thursday afternoon with tropical storm force winds at 40 to 50 mph with gusts to 60 mph and five to eight inches of rain. Some areas could see more of both, for instance valley and mountains.

Iselle could bring heavy rains and gusty winds to all islands Thursday afternoon and Friday.

For Julio, even though its strengthening into a hurricane, it should drop back down to tropical storm strength near the islands. Within the last 24 hours, the track has shifted north, which is good. But the islands are still in the forecast cone, so we still have to watch Julio.

While the weather is calm through early Thursday, it’s best to use is this opportunity to prepare any supplies including water, food, medicines etc. If you feel your home can not take the storm damage, seek shelter at family members homes, businesses or state storm shelters. Keep in mind, if you go to any state storm shelter, you will need to being your food, water and bedding. Some shelters also allow pets.

Power and water will most likely be impacted as a result of the storm, so be prepared to be without both for a few days as a worse case scenario. If any assistance is needed, especially for families and the elderly, the Red Cross or Hawaii State Civil Defense may be able to help, but even that may take some time.

Since Hurricane Iniki hit Kauai in 1992, the islands have seen some near misses when it comes to hurricanes. Some hurricanes have come close, others have broken apart before reaching the state. With Hurricane Iselle, there is a good chance of a direct hit to the Big Island as a tropical storm. If a direct hit, it would be the first named tropical cyclone to move over the islands in 21 years.
 

CobaltBlu

Butterfly Wrangler
Moderator
O.G.
Oct 20, 2006
40,283
3,277
Track and projected track for Isselle...



And Tropical Storm Julio is right behind.



Here is Julio's track

 
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Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
From the Central Pacific Hurricane Center:

1100 PM HST TUE AUG 05 2014

IT IS IMPORTANT FOR PEOPLE IN THE MAIN HAWAIIAN ISLANDS NOT TO FOCUS
TOO CLOSELY ON THE EXACT FORECAST TRACK OF ISELLE. WITH AN AVERAGE
48 HOUR TRACK ERROR OF APPROXIMATELY 80 MILES...IT IS STILL TOO SOON
TO SAY WITH MUCH CERTAINTY WHICH ISLANDS WOULD BE MOST LIKELY TO
EXPERIENCE THE WORST WEATHER...AND EVERYONE SHOULD BE PREPARED FOR
THE POSSIBILITY OF DIRECT IMPACTS FROM ISELLE. IT IS ALSO IMPORTANT
TO KEEP IN MIND THAT SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS FROM TROPICAL CYCLONES CAN
EXTEND WELL AWAY FROM THE CENTER...WITH TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
OVER SOME OF THE EASTERNMOST ISLANDS POSSIBLE BY EARLY FRIDAY
AFTERNOON.
Also, Julio is now a Hurricane.
 

Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
HURRICANE ISELLE INTERMEDIATE ******** NUMBER 24A
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092014
200 AM HST WED AUG 06 2014

...HURRICANE ISELLE WEAKENS AS IT TRACKS TOWARD THE MAIN HAWAIIAN
ISLANDS...
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY
* MAUI COUNTY
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 90 MPH...145 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS...AND ISELLE IS EXPECTED BECOME A TROPICAL STORM BY
THURSDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 155
MILES...250 KM.
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE ON THE BIG ISLAND OF
HAWAII ON THURSDAY...AND PORTIONS OF MAUI COUNTY THURSDAY NIGHT.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ISELLE ARE EXPECTED TO REACH THE MAIN
HAWAIIAN ISLANDS THROUGH THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY...AND POSSIBLY
BECOMING DAMAGING ALONG SOME COASTLINES BY THURSDAY.

RAINFALL...HEAVY RAINS ASSOCIATED WITH ISELLE ARE EXPECTED TO
REACH THE BIG ISLAND THURSDAY AND SPREAD TO THE REMAINDER OF THE
STATE THURSDAY NIGHT AND FRIDAY. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
.....
 

Chanel522

O.G.
Nov 8, 2009
5,508
7
East Coast
Hope everyone stays safe and that neither of these storms cause too much damage.

When there are hurricanes or tropical storms does that increase the likelihood of a tsunami as well, or is that only from earthquakes?
 

Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
The windfield, ocean surface area and terrain can yield a large tidal surge that can cause extensive damage. That's what happened in the northeast a couple of years ago and on the Gulf coast several times.

It's not really the same though.
 

Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
HURRICANE ISELLE SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER 26
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092014
700 AM HST WED AUG 06 2014

THE NEED FOR COMPLETION OF PREPARATION IN ADVANCE OF THE ONSET OF
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ON THE BIG ISLAND OF HAWAII REQUIRE THE
ISSUANCE OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR HAWAII COUNTY AT THIS
TIME. THEREFORE...A TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
HAWAII COUNTY
AT THIS TIME.
/////
 

Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
Schitt just got serious folks!!

HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/******** NUMBER 27
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP092014
2100 UTC WED AUG 06 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ********...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR HAWAII COUNTY. A TROPICAL
STORM WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR MAUI COUNTY.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* HAWAII COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAUI COUNTY

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* OAHU

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 

Chanel522

O.G.
Nov 8, 2009
5,508
7
East Coast
The windfield, ocean surface area and terrain can yield a large tidal surge that can cause extensive damage. That's what happened in the northeast a couple of years ago and on the Gulf coast several times.

It's not really the same though.

Thank you for the clarification :smile:

Hope those in HI keep us updated on how they are. Thoughts and prayers that everyone stays safe!!
 

Echoes

O.G.
Aug 8, 2008
10,402
9
Note: Information I've seen says there has never been a Hurricane strike Hawaii from the East. They have all come in from the south.

Also, Hawaii has not been under a Hurricane Warning since the early 1990s.
 

CobaltBlu

Butterfly Wrangler
Moderator
O.G.
Oct 20, 2006
40,283
3,277
Note: Information I've seen says there has never been a Hurricane strike Hawaii from the East. They have all come in from the south.

Also, Hawaii has not been under a Hurricane Warning since the early 1990s.
I hope it weakens and swings away from the Big Island.
A direct hit would be devastating to the older buildings on the East Side.
 

girlsnstilletos

Say NO to IVORY
Jan 24, 2014
1,948
1,029
^^Me too! I love the Big Island, it's my favorite of all the islands.

I was living on O'ahu in 1992 when Hurricane Iniki hit, it suddenly turned North and was heading directly towards the islands. I'll never forget hearing the blaring Hurricane warning sirens going off at 5am in the pitch dark. Very scary. Of course it ended up hitting Kauai very badly, the damage was terrible. O'ahu still got some of the brunt of it though. I still have friends who live in Hawai'i. Stay safe everyone!
 
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